Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12259/91998
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dc.contributor.authorStonevičius, Edvinas-
dc.contributor.authorRimkus, Egidijus-
dc.contributor.authorKažys, Justas-
dc.contributor.authorBukantis, Arūnas-
dc.contributor.authorKriaučiūnienė, Jūratė-
dc.contributor.authorAkstinas, Vytautas-
dc.contributor.authorJakimavičius, Darius-
dc.contributor.authorPovilaitis, Arvydas-
dc.contributor.authorLožys, Linas-
dc.contributor.authorKesminas, Vytautas-
dc.contributor.authorVirbickas, Tomas-
dc.contributor.authorPliūraitė, Virginija-
dc.coverage.spatialDE-
dc.date.accessioned2019-05-18T13:00:35Z-
dc.date.available2019-05-18T13:00:35Z-
dc.date.issued2018-
dc.identifier.issn0936577X-
dc.identifier.otherVDU02-000053466-
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v75/n2/p143-154-
dc.descriptioneISSN 1616-1572-
dc.description.abstractChanges in the reference evapotranspiration (ET0) and precipitation (P) patterns in the Nemunas River basin (Baltic Sea catchment) are evident today and will be even more significant in the future. Nemunas basin aridity dynamics (1901−2010) and projections (2081−2100) were evaluated using the UNEP aridity index (AI). Historical analysis (CRU TS3.24.01) and future projections (EURO-CORDEX) of monthly air temperature and precipitation were used for the AI estimation. Projections of the meteorological parameters according to 4 Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCP2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5) were used in the analysis. In the Nemunas River basin, evapotranspiration exceeded precipitation from April to August, and in a large part of the basin the climatic conditions during this part of the year could be described as dry subhumid (AI < 0.65). Since the 1980s, increased aridity has been observed between April and August due to a strong positive trend of ET0 and a strong negative trend of P. Future projections (2081−2100) show that despite large uncertainties in the climate projections, it is more likely that the Nemunas basin climate will become more humid in April and May and drier between June and August. The increase in climate aridity during these months is more likely in the southern and central parts of the basinen
dc.description.sponsorshipGamtos tyrimų centras-
dc.description.sponsorshipLietuvos energetikos institutas-
dc.description.sponsorshipVilniaus universitetas-
dc.description.sponsorshipVytauto Didžiojo universitetas-
dc.description.sponsorshipŽemės ūkio akademija-
dc.format.extentp. 143-154-
dc.language.isoen-
dc.relation.ispartofClimate Research. Oldendorf : Inter-Research, 2018, Vol. 75, N 2-
dc.relation.isreferencedbyScience Citation Index Expanded (Web of Science)-
dc.subjectNemunas basinen
dc.subjectReference evapotranspirationen
dc.subjectPrecipitationen
dc.subjectAridity indexen
dc.subjectAIen
dc.subjectEURO-CORDEXen
dc.subjectClimate changeen
dc.subject.otherAplinkos inžinerija / Environmental engineering (T004)-
dc.titleRecent aridity trends and future projections in the Nemunas River basinen
dc.typeStraipsnis Clarivate Analytics Web of Science ar/ir Scopus / Article in Clarivate Analytics Web of Science or / and Scopus (S1)-
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3354/cr01514-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000434378400005-
dc.date.updated2020-02-06T11:31Z-
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crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptVandens ūkio ir žemėtvarkos fakultetas-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
crisitem.author.deptPolitologijos katedra-
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