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Type of publication: Straipsnis recenzuojamoje Lietuvos tarptautinės konferencijos medžiagoje / Article in peer-reviewed Lithuanian international conference proceedings (P1e)
Field of Science: Energetika ir termoinžinerija / Energetics and thermal engineering (T006)
Author(s): Martišauskas, Linas;Augutis, Juozas
Title: Mathematical modelling of security of energy supply disturbance scenarios
Is part of: CYSENI 2009 [elektroninis išteklius] : Conference of young scientists on energy issues. , [2009]
Extent: p. 212-222
Date: 2009
Note: Tomo antraštė: 6th annual conference of young scientists on energy issues (CYSENI 2009), Kaunas, Lithuania, 28-29 May 2009
Keywords: Security of energy supply;Disturbances of energy supply;Mathematical modelling
Abstract: Security of energy supply is extremely important for each country energy development. It depends not only on energy production and infrastructure but also on technical, economical, political and environmental impact. Energy security covers many fields, whereas threats to energy system can be various and consequences have impact to all areas of country’s economy. Mathematical model for consequence scenarios of energy supply potential disturbances, such as technical failure of energy system, natural disasters and catastrophes, terrorism acts, reduction of energy supply, economical blockades, economical and political crisis, etc. is analysed in the paper. Consequences of disturbances used in methodology are technical, economical and socio-political. Development of the model is based on mathematical methods (Markov chains and processes) analysing consequence scenarios of disturbances, performing probabilistic and frequency analysis. In the paper, developed mathematical model of energy system disturbance consequence analysis is presented
Affiliation(s): Informatikos fakultetas
Lietuvos energetikos institutas
Matematikos ir statistikos katedra
Vytauto Didžiojo universitetas
Appears in Collections:Universiteto mokslo publikacijos / University Research Publications

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