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Type of publication: Straipsnis kituose recenzuojamuose leidiniuose / Article in other peer-reviewed editions (S5)
Field of Science: Vadyba / Management (S003)
Author(s): Kuklytė, Jūratė
Title: Netradicinės naftos kainų svyravimų ir prognozavimo apžvalga
Other Title: The review of unconventional oil price fluctuations and forecasting
Is part of: Laisvalaikio tyrimai : elektroninis mokslo žurnalas. Kaunas : Lietuvos sporto universitetas, 2016, nr. 2 (8)
Extent: p. 1-14
Date: 2016
Keywords: Naftos pasaulinė rinka;Netradicinė nafta;Kainų svyravimai;Unconventional oil;Oil world market;Price fluctuation
Abstract: Dėl specifinių geografinių sąlygų naftą eksportuojančios šalys turi didesnį pranašumą ir didesnį biudžeto prieaugį negu kitos šalys, todėl sudaromos pasaulio energetikos rinkos progreso bei plėtros svyravimų prognozės ir scenarijai, kad būtų nustatyta galima naftos paklausa užsienio rinkose įvairiais metodais. Remiantis šiuolaikinėmis tarptautinės prekybos realijomis ir tendencijomis galima teigti, kad naftos kainų svyravimai tampa svarbiu veiksniu, augant geopolitinei įtampai ir baiminantis finansų rinkos suirutės. Taigi šiame straipsnyje pateikiami netradicinės naftos kainų pokyčiai ir juos vertinantys metodai, remiantis užsienyje atliktais tyrimais. Išnagrinėjus naftos kainas, rezultatai parodė, kad netradicinės naftos kainų svyravimai lemia įvairius pokyčius, turinčius įtakos ribinei vertei, kuriai esant yra galimas pasirinkimas investuoti
Relevance of the research. Due to the effect of globalization and integration processes, it is impossible to imagine a world without oil, as the oil price changes affect not only the financial markets but also international trade circulation (Babatunde et al., 2013; Bastiani et al., 2016.; Caporale, et al., 2016.; Humphrey et al., 2016). Oil demand is growing rapidly. It is necessary for mineral-based fuels, lubricants, plastics and various products of the chemical industry and other uses. High consumer demand led to synthetic oil production, known as non-traditional oil production methods (Grushevenko, E., Grushevenko, D., 2012 a). Unconventional oil is a synthetic energy product designed to convert one fuel source (fuel oil, shale, sand resin) to another, but it requires a tremendous amount of heat and fresh water, however, synthetic oil is much cheaper to extract than conventional oil from deep sources in the context of limited resources. Further increasing investor interest in oil production from unconventional reserves (oil, shale, sand) for a much lower production costs and cost dynamics and higher return on investment projects in return has been reported occasionally. Since the period of 2006–2011 breakeven price of oil, extracted from the shale has changed, the cost has doubled – from 105 US dollars/barrel to 48 US dollars/barrel. During the same period, the costeffectiveness of oil extracted from tar sand deposits price increased by 20% and accounted for around 73 US dollars/barrel. Based on the present state of international trade realities and trends it can be suggested that fluctuations in oil prices is becoming a major factor in rising geopolitical tensions and fears of financial market turmoil. The research problem is posed by the question of what are the impacts of unconventional oil prices and demand in the global oil market. Research subject: unconventional oil market and methods.[...]
Affiliation(s): Ekonomikos ir vadybos fakultetas
Vytauto Didžiojo universitetas
Appears in Collections:Universiteto mokslo publikacijos / University Research Publications

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